Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-03 0.025383 0.027489 0.029599 0.031870 0.034241 0.036639 0.039244
2025-08-10 0.021136 0.024442 0.027878 0.031698 0.035812 0.040092 0.044866
2025-08-17 0.018379 0.022347 0.026584 0.031409 0.036715 0.042340 0.048723
2025-08-24 0.016392 0.020831 0.025683 0.031318 0.037623 0.044407 0.052206
2025-08-31 0.014674 0.019444 0.024773 0.031075 0.038234 0.046038 0.055109
2025-09-07 0.013307 0.018343 0.024084 0.030984 0.038931 0.047689 0.057968
2025-09-14 0.011894 0.017083 0.023122 0.030498 0.039106 0.048695 0.060052
2025-09-21 0.010655 0.015945 0.022230 0.030026 0.039238 0.049603 0.061981
2025-09-28 0.009353 0.014644 0.021069 0.029170 0.038867 0.049888 0.063160
2025-10-05 0.008939 0.014440 0.021220 0.029864 0.040297 0.052233 0.066682
2025-10-12 0.008379 0.014007 0.021059 0.030154 0.041229 0.053985 0.069513
2025-10-19 0.007665 0.013325 0.020549 0.029986 0.041588 0.055050 0.071533
2025-10-26 0.007245 0.013059 0.020603 0.030571 0.042930 0.057361 0.075119
2025-11-02 0.006521 0.012336 0.020049 0.030391 0.043352 0.058607 0.077495
2025-11-09 0.005829 0.011605 0.019443 0.030109 0.043620 0.059645 0.079609
2025-11-16 0.005271 0.011027 0.019008 0.030020 0.044104 0.060927 0.081997
2025-11-23 0.004714 0.010405 0.018481 0.029783 0.044382 0.061943 0.084058
2025-11-30 0.004254 0.009898 0.018084 0.029695 0.044830 0.063153 0.086340
2025-12-07 0.003720 0.009224 0.017418 0.029221 0.044766 0.063721 0.087839
2025-12-14 0.003240 0.008594 0.016783 0.028761 0.044697 0.064268 0.089299
2025-12-21 0.002711 0.007822 0.015898 0.027926 0.044119 0.064163 0.089953
2025-12-28 0.002598 0.007788 0.016110 0.028603 0.045505 0.066498 0.093575
2026-01-04 0.002401 0.007580 0.016045 0.028885 0.046370 0.068181 0.096403